Explanation, updating, and accuracy
Journal of Cognitive Psychology, 2016. [All Versions]. There is evidence that people update their credences partly on the basis of explanatory considerations. Philosophers have recently argued that to minimise the inaccuracy of their credences, people's updates also ought to be…
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The Role of Explanatory Considerations in Updating sciencedirect.com
Cognition, 2015. [All Versions]. This paper investigates experimentally controversy in philosophy about the connection between explanation and inference, of whether judgments of the explanatory goodness of hypotheses do play a role when people revise their degrees of belief in…
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Explanatory Preferences Shape Learning and Inference scholar.princeton.edu
Trends in Cognitive Sciences, 2016. [All Versions]. People often learn by seeking explanations, and they assess the viability of hypotheses by considering how well they explain the data. An emerging body of work reveals that both children and adults have strong and systematic…
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Best, second-best, and good-enough explanations: How they matter to reasoning psycnet.apa.org
Journal of Experimental Psychology, 2018. [All Versions]. There is a wealth of evidence that people’s reasoning is influenced by explanatory considerations. Three experiments investigate the descriptive adequacy of a precise proposal to be found in the philosophical literature…
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How explanation guides belief change sciencedirect.com
Trends in Cognitive Sciences, 2021. [All Versions]. Philosophers have argued that people ought to change their graded beliefs via Bayes’ rule. Recent work in psychology indicates that people sometimes violate that rule by attending to explanatory factors. Results from…
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When to trust the data: Further investigations of system error in a scientific reasoning task link.springer.com
Memory & Cognition, 1996. [All Versions]. When evaluating experimental evidence, how do people deal with the possibility that some of the feedback is erroneous? The potential for error means that evidence evaluation must include decisions about when to “trust the data.” This…
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The structure and function of explanations cognition.princeton.edu
Trends in Cognitive Sciences, 2006. [All Versions]. Generating and evaluating explanations is spontaneous, ubiquitous and fundamental to our sense of understanding. Recent evidence suggests that in the course of an individual's reasoning, engaging in explanation can have…
AGI & CoCoSci › Papers > Abduction > Explanation: “Journal of Cognitive Psychology, 2016. [All Versions]. There is evidence that people update their credences partly on the basis of explanatory considerations. Philosophers have recently argued that to minimise the inaccuracy of their credences, people's updates also ought to be…”