Software effort estimation is mostly fake research
“The NASA dataset contains 93 rows (that is not a typo, there is no power-of-ten missing), COCOMO 63 rows, Desharnais 81 rows, and (…) the China dataset contains 499 rows.”
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- Engineering Team Management
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- 2026-10-10
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Why software projects take longer than you think: a statistical model erikbern.com
“Confirms the hunch that developers estimate the median well, but the mean ends up being much higher.”
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CoREBench comp.nus.edu.sg
Collection of 70 realistically Complex Regression Errors that were systematically extracted from the repositories and bug reports of four open-source software projects: Make, Grep, Findutils, and Coreutils.
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Don't (guess)timate your projects, forecast with confidence reaktor.com
“The problem with spending a lot of time on estimating is that it can feel useful, but often is so inaccurate that it hardly yields much value to the business.” The best we can do is measure and forecast.
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GitHub Bug Dataset inf.u-szeged.hu
Bug Dataset of 15 Java open-source projects characterized by static source code metrics.
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https://idea.popcount.org/ idea.popcount.org
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Error Budget Calculator dastergon.gr
Engineering Team Management › Project Management > Estimations: ““The NASA dataset contains 93 rows (that is not a typo, there is no power-of-ten missing), COCOMO 63 rows, Desharnais 81 rows, and (…) the China dataset contains 499 rows.””